• Investing
  • Stock
Round Table Thoughts
  • Economy
  • Editor’s Pick
Home Stock Magnificent 7 Stocks: Overheated or Just Getting Started?
Stock

Magnificent 7 Stocks: Overheated or Just Getting Started?

by January 27, 2024
by January 27, 2024 0 comment
Share
0
FacebookTwitterPinterestWhatsapp

One of the key themes, if not THE theme, of 2023 was the dominance of the mega-cap growth trade. The Magnificent 7 stocks handily outperformed our equity benchmarks through the course of 2023, and, so far in 2024, it’s been more of the same.

With Netflix (NFLX) gapping higher on earnings this week, the stock has certainly appeared to earn a place among the leading stocks of the day. But how do we handle names that have already had incredible runs and now appear overextended?

Today, we’ll break down eight leading growth names, which I have loosely called “Magnificent 7 and Friends”, and use the technical analysis toolkit to gauge the strength of trends and prospects for continued uptrends. We’ll also see what an outlier Tesla (TSLA) has become after disappointing earnings and a price breakdown of epic portions.

The Best of the Best Continuing Higher

Over the last 12 months, the NYSE Fang Plus Index (NYSE+) has gained 76%, dwarfing the QQQ’s +45% and SPY’s +22%. While this index includes some other names outside the Magnificent 7, it remains a decent proxy for the strength of the mega-cap growth trade.

The first five charts in this group are similar in that they have broken out of clear basing patterns, and also have shown a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows. Note how many of these names broke out above resistance, then pulled back to the previous resistance level before accelerating to a new swing high in January.

Strength tends to beget further strength, and Charles Dow clarified the importance of this concept by declaring that an uptrend consisted of a pattern of higher highs and higher lows. As long as these charts make a higher swing low on subsequent pullbacks, the primary trend remains bullish.

Netflix is a bit of an outlier, in that it was rangebound (similar to Apple, below) until gapping higher this week on earnings.

This week’s upside gap pushed NFLX above key resistance around $500, and also created a new area of expected support between $500-530. As long as NFLX holds this range on a pullback, I’d consider the overarching sentiment to remain bullish.

One Name Still With Something to Prove

Here’s where the charts will start to look a little different than the others we’ve shared thus far. While the first six names have already broken to new highs, Apple (AAPL) continues to languish below an well-established resistance level.

Apple hit a new 52-week high around $197 in July 2023. This level was briefly broken in December, but was unable to sustain those gains as the stock pushed lower to test its 200-day moving average. This week, AAPL once again tested the $197 level but couldn’t power above this upside threshold. If and when AAPL gets above $197, and especially if it’s able to power above the “big round number” of $200, I would consider this a bullish breakout in line with the previous charts we’ve presented here.

The Worst of the Worst Has Broken Down

And now we’ve reached the name which I would consider no longer worthy of membership in the elite Magnificent 7 club. After reviewing the chart below, and comparing it to all other charts we’ve shared, you’ll see what an outlier Tesla has become.

A first glance at the chart shows a similar structure to AAPL through summer 2023, as TSLA was able to reach the $300 market in July. From that point on, however, you’ll notice a clear pattern of lower highs and lower lows. This is a Dow Theory downtrend, indicating a primary bearish trend and a general risk-off sentiment.

This week, TSLA gapped lower on an earnings miss, dropping the stock almost 14% for the week and pushing the price below the October 2023 low around $190. Unless TSLA is able to reclaim this level on a swing higher, and then establish a higher low, the primary trend remains down and I’d be very happy looking for better opportunities elsewhere!

Which of the Magnificent 7 (or 8?) stocks do you see as the best opportunity here, and why? By using a simple trend analysis of these names, it can be fairly easy to trim the outliers, focus on actionable moves, and better define potential reward vs. risk.

RR#6,

Dave

P.S. Ready to upgrade your investment process? Check out my free behavioral investing course!

David Keller, CMT

Chief Market Strategist

StockCharts.com

Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

The author does not have a position in mentioned securities at the time of publication. Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.

You Might Also Like
  • The Unpredictable Stock Market: How to Make Sense of It
  • Zillow’s New Strategy Looks Like a Winner; Is the Stock a Buy?
  • Looks Like A Major Shift In Leadership Is Seen In The Energy Sector
  • This Report Might Self Destruct in 5 Days
Share
0
FacebookTwitterPinterestWhatsapp

previous post
Tesla recalls 200,000 vehicles over backup camera glitch
next post
White House establishes guidelines for Cabinet notifications following Austin’s hospitalization controversy

You may also like

The Halftime Show: The One Indicator That Gave Me an...

July 17, 2023

These Stocks Are Looking Good As We Move Into 2024

December 30, 2023

Sprouts Farmers Market: A Hidden Gem on the Corner of...

January 4, 2024

Tips n’ Tricks to Instantly Enhance Your Chart Annotating

June 2, 2023

Stock Market Stuck with a Plethora of Mixed Signals

February 4, 2023

Small-caps Break Out and Lead – Now What?

July 19, 2024

Retail Stocks Caught in Limbo: Will RTH Break Free and...

June 6, 2024

S&P 4300 by End of February?

January 13, 2024

Down-and-Out Stocks Entering New Uptrends – These 8 Traits Will...

June 10, 2023

Don’t Even Think About Investing Without Addressing These 10 Essentials...

September 12, 2023

    Stay updated with the latest news, exclusive offers, and special promotions. Sign up now and be the first to know! As a member, you'll receive curated content, insider tips, and invitations to exclusive events. Don't miss out on being part of something special.


    By opting in you agree to receive emails from us and our affiliates. Your information is secure and your privacy is protected.

    Recent Posts

    • OpenAI to release web browser in challenge to Google Chrome

      July 10, 2025
    • Sports executive charged with bid-rigging in Texas arena project

      July 10, 2025
    • How I Triple My Returns With 3x Leveraged ETFs!

      July 10, 2025
    • Want Faster, Lower Risk Trades? Use This Setup

      July 9, 2025
    • The Seasonality Trend Driving XLK and XLI to New Highs

      July 9, 2025

    Popular Posts

    • 1

      Biden appointee played key role in recruiting Chinese...

      June 25, 2024 3,630 views
    • 2

      Trump-era China sanctions ended by Biden may be...

      June 27, 2024 2,919 views
    • 3

      Walz’s honeymoon with China gets fresh scrutiny as...

      August 9, 2024 2,607 views
    • 4

      Shein’s global ambitions leaves some cybersecurity experts fearful...

      July 10, 2024 2,576 views
    • 5

      Harris VP pick spent years promoting research facility...

      August 29, 2024 2,449 views

    Categories

    • Economy (7,009)
    • Editor's Pick (2,169)
    • Investing (538)
    • Stock (2,661)

    Popular Posts

    • 1

      Biden appointee played key role in recruiting Chinese businesses to Delaware: ‘Longtime friends’

      June 25, 2024
    • 2

      Trump-era China sanctions ended by Biden may be revived under new House GOP bill

      June 27, 2024
    • 3

      Walz’s honeymoon with China gets fresh scrutiny as Harris camp blasts ‘lying’ critics

      August 9, 2024
    • 4

      Shein’s global ambitions leaves some cybersecurity experts fearful of Chinese spy threats

      July 10, 2024
    • 5

      Harris VP pick spent years promoting research facility that collaborated with ‘Chinese military company’

      August 29, 2024

    Latest News

    • OpenAI to release web browser in challenge to Google Chrome

      July 10, 2025
    • Sports executive charged with bid-rigging in Texas arena project

      July 10, 2025
    • How I Triple My Returns With 3x Leveraged ETFs!

      July 10, 2025

    Categories

    • Economy (7,009)
    • Editor's Pick (2,169)
    • Investing (538)
    • Stock (2,661)

    Disclaimer: RoundTableThoughts.com, its managers, its employees, and assigns (collectively “The Company”) do not make any guarantee or warranty about what is advertised above. Information provided by this website is for research purposes only and should not be considered as personalized financial advice. The Company is not affiliated with, nor does it receive compensation from, any specific security. The Company is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendation. Any investments recommended here should be taken into consideration only after consulting with your investment advisor and after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

    Copyright © 2024 RoundTableThoughts.com. All Rights Reserved.

    Round Table Thoughts
    • Investing
    • Stock
    Round Table Thoughts
    • Economy
    • Editor’s Pick

    Read alsox

    Value Stocks Continued Strength Might Depend...

    January 26, 2024

    Market Pullback? Follow These Charts!

    February 15, 2024

    Higher Gold Price Coming, But Investors...

    January 30, 2024
    Sign In

    Keep me signed in until I sign out

    Forgot your password?

    Password Recovery

    A new password will be emailed to you.

    Have received a new password? Login here