• Investing
  • Stock
Round Table Thoughts
  • Economy
  • Editor’s Pick
Home Stock What’s Really Driving Tesla’s Surprising Stock Surge?
Stock

What’s Really Driving Tesla’s Surprising Stock Surge?

by April 24, 2024
by April 24, 2024 0 comment
Share
0
FacebookTwitterPinterestWhatsapp

Tesla’s (TSLA) first-quarter earnings reported after Tuesday’s market close was lackluster, bordering on disastrous. Yet the stock jumped 16% Wednesday morning, ripping open a wide breakaway gap from the previous day’s close. 

What happened? Well, Elon Musk framed the dismal numbers with a compelling narrative that elevated its underperformance into a story about future growth. But does the story have enough fundamental fuel to break above the FOMO?

From Sinking Ship to Skyrocket

Here’s a brief account of what happened on Tuesday: TSLA’s revenue in the quarter fell by 9%, its vehicle production and deliveries were also down 2% and 9%, respectively, its operating income and adjusted EPS plunged by 56% and 47%, and its operating cash flow cratered by 90%.

These figures alone would have tanked TSLA’s stock price. So, what happened? Musk got TSLA prices flying with two sentences that essentially said the company is expediting the building of cheaper EVs based on the current models. Cheaper Tesla EVs mean a surge in demand and, by extension, growth.

TSLA Stock: A Macro Look

Click here for a live chart.

In the weekly chart of TSLA below, the stock has been trading lower since peaking in October 2021 (even considering its attempt at recovery in early 2003). TSLA’s stock price is close to its 2023 low.

CHART 1. WEEKLY CHART OF TSLA. Despite the recovery attempt in early 2023, the longer-term trend has been down since 2021.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

Currently, TSLA holds one of the worst StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) scores at 2.2, a few steps from zero. While the leading EV maker’s performance was in sync with its industry ($DJUSAU), it badly underperformed the S&P 500 by more than -45%.

Flying High on FOMO?

Click here for a live chart.

Now, take a look at the near-term price action in the daily chart of TSLA (see below). The stock exhibited a sudden burst of escape velocity to the upside after hitting a 52-week low.

CHART 2. DAILY CHART OF TSLA. Breakaway gaps are bullish, TSLA’s narrative is also bullish, but the rest of the technicals are iffy.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

Breakaway gaps toward the upside are characterized by a powerful shift driven by intense sentiment. They rarely get filled right away.

TSLA’s 16% post-earnings gap is a strong bullish gesture, but notice the strong rejection in the current candle. This indicates, if anything, that the volume driving the gap may not be enough to give it a follow-through in the coming sessions (it’s a wait-and-see moment). While the Money Flow Index (MFI) and Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) (the latter dipping back below the zero line) show an ever-so-slight divergence which might be interpreted as bullish, any surge from this point on will face a few technical headwinds above.

TSLA is trading below its 50-day simple moving average, but if it crosses above it, note the critical resistance areas at the $180 and $205 range.

Bullish or Bearish?

One day’s surge, no matter how impressive, doesn’t define a trend. Likewise, a strong twist in the fundamental narrative doesn’t mark a change in the story. As far as price targets are concerned, a survey of 30 analysts shows a wide range from a shocking $23 on the low end, a median target of $185, and a high range upwards of $310 to cap it off.

Right now, everything is riding on the promises of production. As seasoned traders know, holding out for confirmation is usually the smart play. The technical indicators map out key short-term and long-term levels, giving you a clearer view of the battleground where all this drama will play out.

Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

You Might Also Like
  • Bullish Rotation Fully Supports Further Gains Ahead
  • The Ord Oracle April 25, 2023
  • How to Shield Your Stocks During a Market Decline
  • Is it Possible for the S&P 500 to Hold the 4300 Level?
Share
0
FacebookTwitterPinterestWhatsapp

previous post
Pinpoint the Next Buying Opportunity in SPY
next post
10% Downside Risk For Stocks as Value Takes The Lead

You may also like

The Ord Oracle August 1, 2023

August 2, 2023

Dow Jones in the Spotlight, Bonds Stabilize, Tech Plays Catch-Up

September 20, 2024

Stock Market Hits Record Levels: Prepare for What Inflation Can...

November 9, 2024

Tickers Still Bullish

March 24, 2023

The Market Liked FOMC

February 3, 2023

GNG TV: “Go” Trends in Rates & Dollar Causing Problems...

September 22, 2023

Sector Rotation + SPY Seasonality = Trouble for Bulls?

April 30, 2025

Sensitive Sectors Are Holding the Keys to Unlock Upside Potential

April 11, 2023

Here’s My Long-Term Perspective on U.S. Stocks

May 6, 2024

Wyckoff at Work in the Intraday Timeframe

June 3, 2024

    Stay updated with the latest news, exclusive offers, and special promotions. Sign up now and be the first to know! As a member, you'll receive curated content, insider tips, and invitations to exclusive events. Don't miss out on being part of something special.


    By opting in you agree to receive emails from us and our affiliates. Your information is secure and your privacy is protected.

    Recent Posts

    • Breakouts, Momentum & Moving Averages: 10 Must-See Stock Charts Right Now

      May 31, 2025
    • Leadership Rotation Could Confirm Corrective Phase

      May 30, 2025
    • Run Your Stock Portfolio Like a Pro Sports Team

      May 30, 2025
    • U.S. foreign tax bill sends jitters across Wall Street

      May 30, 2025
    • Amazon taps Xbox co-founder to lead new team developing ‘breakthrough’ consumer products

      May 30, 2025

    Popular Posts

    • 1

      Trump-era China sanctions ended by Biden may be...

      June 27, 2024 2,765 views
    • 2

      Walz’s honeymoon with China gets fresh scrutiny as...

      August 9, 2024 2,472 views
    • 3

      Biden appointee played key role in recruiting Chinese...

      June 25, 2024 2,451 views
    • 4

      Shein’s global ambitions leaves some cybersecurity experts fearful...

      July 10, 2024 2,432 views
    • 5

      Harris VP pick spent years promoting research facility...

      August 29, 2024 2,308 views

    Categories

    • Economy (7,009)
    • Editor's Pick (2,106)
    • Investing (538)
    • Stock (2,581)

    Popular Posts

    • 1

      Trump-era China sanctions ended by Biden may be revived under new House GOP bill

      June 27, 2024
    • 2

      Walz’s honeymoon with China gets fresh scrutiny as Harris camp blasts ‘lying’ critics

      August 9, 2024
    • 3

      Biden appointee played key role in recruiting Chinese businesses to Delaware: ‘Longtime friends’

      June 25, 2024
    • 4

      Shein’s global ambitions leaves some cybersecurity experts fearful of Chinese spy threats

      July 10, 2024
    • 5

      Harris VP pick spent years promoting research facility that collaborated with ‘Chinese military company’

      August 29, 2024

    Latest News

    • Breakouts, Momentum & Moving Averages: 10 Must-See Stock Charts Right...

      May 31, 2025
    • Leadership Rotation Could Confirm Corrective Phase

      May 30, 2025
    • Run Your Stock Portfolio Like a Pro Sports Team

      May 30, 2025

    Categories

    • Economy (7,009)
    • Editor's Pick (2,106)
    • Investing (538)
    • Stock (2,581)

    Disclaimer: RoundTableThoughts.com, its managers, its employees, and assigns (collectively “The Company”) do not make any guarantee or warranty about what is advertised above. Information provided by this website is for research purposes only and should not be considered as personalized financial advice. The Company is not affiliated with, nor does it receive compensation from, any specific security. The Company is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendation. Any investments recommended here should be taken into consideration only after consulting with your investment advisor and after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

    Copyright © 2024 RoundTableThoughts.com. All Rights Reserved.

    Round Table Thoughts
    • Investing
    • Stock
    Round Table Thoughts
    • Economy
    • Editor’s Pick

    Read alsox

    MEM TV: New Uptrends Amid Sector...

    June 10, 2023

    Wall Street Sees No Threat of...

    December 28, 2024

    Growth Stocks Seen THRIVING in Anticipation...

    August 23, 2023
    Sign In

    Keep me signed in until I sign out

    Forgot your password?

    Password Recovery

    A new password will be emailed to you.

    Have received a new password? Login here