• Investing
  • Stock
Round Table Thoughts
  • Economy
  • Editor’s Pick
Home Stock Stock Market Ends the Week Strong: Could It Spark a Bullish January?
Stock

Stock Market Ends the Week Strong: Could It Spark a Bullish January?

by January 4, 2025
by January 4, 2025 0 comment
Share
0
FacebookTwitterPinterestWhatsapp

Has it been a while since the broader market indexes closed in the green? It certainly seems that way.

After what looked like a weak start to the new year, the stock market showed us it still had legs. The week’s trading day ended with the broader stock market indexes all closing in the green. But in the first half hour of the trading day, things didn’t look great. There was a lot of choppy movement, but it settled down and went higher and finished strong. Nine of the 11 S&P sectors closed higher with Consumer Discretionary at the top (more on that below).

Friday was the last day of the Santa Claus Rally. While Santa skipped Wall St. this year, Friday’s price action in the S&P 500 ($SPX) left investors optimistic. The S&P 500 was able to hold on to its November lows (see the daily chart of S&P 500 below), which is an encouraging sign. But we’re not out of the woods yet.

FIGURE 1. S&P 500 HOLDS ABOVE NOVEMBER LOWS. Friday’s price action was encouraging but increasing breadth would be more confirming of a turnaround.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

Thursday’s price action was nerve-wracking — there was a time when the index was trading below its November lows. Fortunately, it recovered and closed a little above it. Friday’s close was encouraging, with the S&P 500 gaining 1.26%, hitting resistance at its 50-day simple moving average (SMA). But the market breadth indicators in the lower panels need to be stronger. The S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index is at 41, the NYSE Advance-Decline Line is declining, and the percentage of S&P 500 stocks trading above their 200-day moving average is 56.

Friday’s MarketCarpet based on the performance of the S&P 500 shows that heavy-weighted large caps such as NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA), Microsoft Corp. (MSFT), Alphabet Inc. (GOOG and GOOGL), Meta Platforms (META), and Tesla Inc. (TSLA) ended the day higher.

FIGURE 2. MARKETCARPET FOR JANUARY 3. Most of the higher market cap stocks closed higher on Friday.Image source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

TSLA had a massive move rising 8.10% closing the gap between December 31 and January 2. TSLA is a stock to monitor, especially since it has a deep connection with the new administration set to take office on January 20. The stock bounced on Friday after five down days.

NVDA’s stock price also had an impressive rally on Friday after consolidating since early November. These two stocks, TSLA and NVDA, helped the Consumer Discretionary and Technology sectors take the top two positions in Friday’s sector performance.

Overall, Friday’s price action was a ray of hope that perhaps the January Barometer  — as the S&P 500 goes in January, so goes the year — might be the one out of the trifecta that can come through. The January Barometer was devised by Yale Hirsch and has an 83.3% accuracy rate.

Steel, Beer, and Used Cars

While many tech stocks saw big gains, it wasn’t the same for US Steel Group (X). President Biden blocked the takeover of the company by Nippon Steel, resulting in a 6.53% drop in the price of X.

Alcoholic beverage companies didn’t have a great day either after US Surgeon General, Vivek Murthy, said alcoholic drinks should include cancer risk warnings on their labels. Shares of Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD), Molson Coors Brewing Co. (TAP), Boston Beer Co. (SAM), and Constellation Brands (STZ) all fell on Friday.

Shares of Carvana (CVNA) fell over 11% after Hindenberg Research accused the company of accounting manipulation. Although Carvana denied the allegations and the stock received an upgrade from J.P. Morgan analysts, it didn’t help lift the stock price. CVNA’s stock price fell 17.53% (see chart below).

FIGURE 3. WEEKLY CHART OF CVNA STOCK. Two sets of Fibonacci retracement levels are drawn on the chart, one from a previous high to low (blue) and another from a more recent low to high (red).Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

Carvana had a high StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) score, and we’ve covered the stock in our past SCTR Reports. Once the SCTR score fell below the 90 level on December 23, it raised a red flag. Combine that with a break below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from a previous high to low (blue line) and a relative strength index below 70 and you have a clear sell signal.

It will be interesting to see how this story develops. If things clear up and CVNA can show that it didn’t engage in accounting manipulations, the stock price could turn around and rise quickly.

Yields, US Dollar, Oil

The bond market had a choppy day. The 10-year yield closed at 4.596%, which hurt bond prices. The US dollar surged on Thursday but pulled back a bit on Friday. The chart of the Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP) displays that Friday’s price action was within Thursday’s range. There’s no sign of a weakness in the US dollar, which continues to remain strong.

FIGURE 4. DAILY CHART OF INVESCO DB US DOLLAR INDEX BULLISH FUND. The dollar has been rising steadily since October.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

Crude oil prices rose today. The United States Oil Fund (USO) was up 1.83% on Thursday and up 1.29% on Friday. Oil prices have been going sideways since October but recent price action shows that it may be breaking out of its slump.

For a short trading week, that’s a lot of moving parts. Although stocks closed higher on Friday, there’s still not enough clarity on the charts to show a reversal. Next week could tell a different story.

End-of-Week Wrap-Up

S&P 500 down 0.48% for the week, at 5942.47, Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.60% for the week at 42,732.13; Nasdaq Composite down 0.51% for the week at 19,621.68$VIX up 1.13% for the week, closing at 16.13Best performing sector for the week: EnergyWorst performing sector for the week: MaterialsTop 5 Large Cap SCTR stocks: Applovin Corp. (APP); Palantir Technologies (PLTR); Reddit Inc. (RDDT); Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB); MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR)

On the Radar Next Week

December PMINovember Factory OrdersNovember JOLTS ReportDecember ISM ServicesDecember Non-Farm PayrollsFOMC MinutesFed speeches from Cook, Barkin, Schmid, and Bowman

Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

You Might Also Like
  • Want More Market Insights and Trade Ideas? Try These Tools
  • Capitalizing on Market Momentum: The Art of Pullback Swing Trading
  • Sentiment And Small Caps Are A 1-2 Punch, Knocking Out The Staggering Bears
  • Stay Ahead: Key Sentiment Indicators to Track in October 2024!
Share
0
FacebookTwitterPinterestWhatsapp

previous post
These Riskier Areas Start the New Year RALLY!
next post
How to Trade Erratic Uptrends – An Example and Setup using IWM

You may also like

Bitcoin, Politics, and Profits: What You Need to Know About...

June 13, 2024

Market Stumbles Near The Edge of a CLIFF

June 18, 2024

This Stock Is Trending Higher: Why You Should Watch It

January 20, 2023

Market Pullbacks Provide Opportunities to Build your WatchList – Here’s...

January 11, 2025

The Halftime Show: TSLA Review — Anatomy of a Trade...

August 22, 2023

Market Research and Analysis – Part 5: Drawdown Analysis

April 11, 2024

Brace Yourself: The Debt Ceiling is Now on the Horizon

May 2, 2023

MEM TV: New Uptrends Amid Sector Rotation!

June 10, 2023

The Market is Moving Higher, BUT Avoid Real Estate in...

January 30, 2024

Who will Win the Battle for the 200-day SMA?

November 4, 2023

    Stay updated with the latest news, exclusive offers, and special promotions. Sign up now and be the first to know! As a member, you'll receive curated content, insider tips, and invitations to exclusive events. Don't miss out on being part of something special.


    By opting in you agree to receive emails from us and our affiliates. Your information is secure and your privacy is protected.

    Recent Posts

    • Week Ahead: NIFTY Stays In A Defined Range; Moving Past This Level Crucial For Resumption Of Upmove

      May 31, 2025
    • Breakouts, Momentum & Moving Averages: 10 Must-See Stock Charts Right Now

      May 31, 2025
    • Leadership Rotation Could Confirm Corrective Phase

      May 30, 2025
    • Run Your Stock Portfolio Like a Pro Sports Team

      May 30, 2025
    • U.S. foreign tax bill sends jitters across Wall Street

      May 30, 2025

    Popular Posts

    • 1

      Trump-era China sanctions ended by Biden may be...

      June 27, 2024 2,765 views
    • 2

      Walz’s honeymoon with China gets fresh scrutiny as...

      August 9, 2024 2,472 views
    • 3

      Biden appointee played key role in recruiting Chinese...

      June 25, 2024 2,451 views
    • 4

      Shein’s global ambitions leaves some cybersecurity experts fearful...

      July 10, 2024 2,432 views
    • 5

      Harris VP pick spent years promoting research facility...

      August 29, 2024 2,308 views

    Categories

    • Economy (7,009)
    • Editor's Pick (2,106)
    • Investing (538)
    • Stock (2,582)

    Popular Posts

    • 1

      Trump-era China sanctions ended by Biden may be revived under new House GOP bill

      June 27, 2024
    • 2

      Walz’s honeymoon with China gets fresh scrutiny as Harris camp blasts ‘lying’ critics

      August 9, 2024
    • 3

      Biden appointee played key role in recruiting Chinese businesses to Delaware: ‘Longtime friends’

      June 25, 2024
    • 4

      Shein’s global ambitions leaves some cybersecurity experts fearful of Chinese spy threats

      July 10, 2024
    • 5

      Harris VP pick spent years promoting research facility that collaborated with ‘Chinese military company’

      August 29, 2024

    Latest News

    • Week Ahead: NIFTY Stays In A Defined Range; Moving Past...

      May 31, 2025
    • Breakouts, Momentum & Moving Averages: 10 Must-See Stock Charts Right...

      May 31, 2025
    • Leadership Rotation Could Confirm Corrective Phase

      May 30, 2025

    Categories

    • Economy (7,009)
    • Editor's Pick (2,106)
    • Investing (538)
    • Stock (2,582)

    Disclaimer: RoundTableThoughts.com, its managers, its employees, and assigns (collectively “The Company”) do not make any guarantee or warranty about what is advertised above. Information provided by this website is for research purposes only and should not be considered as personalized financial advice. The Company is not affiliated with, nor does it receive compensation from, any specific security. The Company is not registered or licensed by any governing body in any jurisdiction to give investing advice or provide investment recommendation. Any investments recommended here should be taken into consideration only after consulting with your investment advisor and after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

    Copyright © 2024 RoundTableThoughts.com. All Rights Reserved.

    Round Table Thoughts
    • Investing
    • Stock
    Round Table Thoughts
    • Economy
    • Editor’s Pick

    Read alsox

    Santa Claus Rally Alert: Predicting a...

    December 7, 2023

    The Most Important Chart to Watch...

    October 11, 2023

    Industrials Ignite as Bitcoin Blasts Off

    July 11, 2023
    Sign In

    Keep me signed in until I sign out

    Forgot your password?

    Password Recovery

    A new password will be emailed to you.

    Have received a new password? Login here